Presidential Trends, Stock Charts and NFL Predictions of the Week

Presidential Trends, Stock Charts and NFL Predictions of the Week

– In other words: I have totally neglected my blog.

OK, not quite, however: I have not posted much this week due to work and other life events getting in the way taking precedence.

 

 

So here is a quick catch up:

Presidential Trends:

Obama won the election, and the stock market tanked in fear! – Or depression – or Both.  So what do people do when they are afraid and depressed? 

They drink and buy guns!

When Obama was running and won back in 2008 the gun stocks soared in fear!  Fear that HE was going to take away all our 2^nd amendment rights.  Of course all the idiots were right back then.  And . . .

Well, sure enough, same thing happened again with the 2012 election.

My stock in Smith and Wesson is up over 18% in just 5 days.

Yes, I have absolutely no problem making money off of irrational fear in the stock market.  Especially when in this case, it follows such a predictable pattern.

Stock Charts: (speaking of patterns)

Apple continues to fall!  I made a prediction about how folks were not looking at the big picture when it came to chart pattern investing and Apple stock.   

Throw in the added downward drivers of:

·         Increases in taxes next year – especially on capital gains.

·         Production supply issues.

·         Not exceeding expectations.

·         Uncertain economy.

And you have all the ingredients of a downward trend.

In terms of the head and shoulders pattern, we are now at the second low point level before the right shoulder.

So folks should be looking to get back in and drive the price up soon but, if the overall patter holds . . .

Look for Apple to drop below 500 by late spring or summer!

Do I hear 450 possibly? 

NFL Predictions of the Week:

TacoMan wins again!   The dude cleaned up last week with a 12 – 2 record AND picking the upset of the week (Steelers over Giants)!

So we start off this week with predictions for tonights game.

 

Colts vs Jaguars.

 

TacoMan: Colts 24 – Jaguars 10

SuperCarlos: Jaguars

NinjaSailor: With a last minute text via special assignment – Colts

RedskinDoug: Colts 27 – Jaguars 13

 

So there you have it, another fun filled action packed post encompassing the best of sports, stocks and predictions.

Until next time:

Be Good, Do Well, Have Fun.

A good Sports Day for Washington

Shanahan agrees to coach Redskins:

And… Snyder was not on the stage. In fact, he was in the audience at Redskin Park. Bruce Allen handled all the ceremonies and introductions. A first for Danny.

Capitals name Alex Ovechkin team captain:

NBA Suspends Gilbert Arenas Indefinitely After Gun Incident:

Agent Zero Man…

Abe Pollin is probably rolling over in his grave right about now…
Are we going to start calling them the Bullets again…

And here is my obligatory joke like “it’s OK we all know he can’t shoot”

Of course I do not know the facts…

They range from

Bragging “oh yeah, well mine is bigger than yours”

to Conscientious “I just wanted to get them out of the house away from the baby”

(Ummm excuse me, the kid is like 1 month old – unless if you have the guns laying around in the crib (the babies, not yours) I don’t see the sudden problem) Oh and what about gun safes and I guess it was OK when you had the other much older kids around.

But I digress… sort of

Point is, this is serious stupid stuff and should not be tolerated by the Bullets Wizards, NBA, or fans.

If any of the gun stuff is remotely true…

Send him up to spend some time with Plax. I’m sure they will get along just fine.

Going on a cruise!

Yes folks, it’s that time of year again…

The weather turns colder.
You long for fun in the sun…

And all you can think of is that SouthWest Airlines commercial “Wanna get away?”.

Well, this year you can!

A friend forwarded an email to me about this new type of adventure cruise.

To The Point Cruise Lines is excited to offer the ultimate adventure cruise, along the pirate-infested coast of Somalia!
Board our luxury cruise ships in Djibouti on the Gulf of Aden near the entrance to the Red Sea, and disembark in Mombasa , Kenya seven adrenaline-charged days later. Reservations start at only $5,200 per-person (double occupancy, inside room) and $6,900 (verandah complete with bench rest).

You’ll relax like never before!

That’s because you are welcome to bring your own arsenal with you. If you don’t have your own weapons, you can rent them from our onboard
Master Gunsmith. Enjoy reloading parties every afternoon with skeet and marksmanship competitions every night!

But the best fun of all, of course, is…

Pirate Target Practice!

The object of the cruise is to sail up and down the Somali Coast waiting to get hijacked by pirates!

Customer Testimonials!

“Six attacks in 4 days were more than I expected. I bagged three pirates, my wife nailed two, and my 12-year old son sank two boats with the mini-gun.
This wonderful cruise was fun for the whole family” — Fred D., Cincinnati , OH

“Pirates 0, Passengers 32! Well worth the trip! Can’t recommend it highly enough!” — Ben L., Bethesda , MD

But wait! There’s more!

Equipment Rentals:
Including this beauty!
Twin mounted mini-guns are available for rental at only $450.00 per 30 seconds of sustained fire!

Additional Services Include:

• Need a spotter? Our professional crew members can double as spotters for only $30/hour.
(spotting scope included, but gratuities are not)
• Also included: Free complimentary night vision equipment – and throughout the night, coffee, pastries and snacks are always available on the main deck from 7pm until 6am
• Our deluxe package comes complete with gourmet meals and all rooms offer a mini-bar

Satisfaction Guaranteed!

You will experience at least two hijacking attempts by pirates or you’ll receive an instant $1,000 refund upon arrival in Mombasa ..
How can we make that guarantee? We operate at 5 knots just beyond 12 nautical miles off the coast of Somalia , thus in international waters where pirates have no rights whatever. In fact, we make three passes through the area’s most treacherous waters to ensure maximum visibility by Somali “mother ships.”

We repeat this for five days, making three complete passes past the entire Somali Coast . At night, the boat is fully lit and bottle rockets are shot every five
minutes with loud disco music directionally beamed shore side to attract maximum attention.

ACT NOW! And receive this special offer!

Reserve now and be automatically entered to win a 5 minute time slot on the Captain’s own Twin Browning 50 Caliber M2HB installation!

Ahhh, if only it were truly possible….

Big Bang Theory….

And my own version of a trickle down theory and possibly even the butterfly effect.

All of which is inspired by an article I came across on MSN.

Fear of Obama drives gun stocks higher
by Anthony Mirhaydari

Here are some snippets and my comments…

“Over the last week, while the S&P 500 is down 2%, are Firearm companies such as Smith & Wesson (SWHC), Cabela (CAB), and Rugers (RGR) are up 30% – 50%.”

“Rising concern over increased regulation from the Obama White House has gun buffs stocking up on the latest tactical rifles and pistols.”

“Gun sales increased 81% in the fourth quarter on new products and “robust firearms demand.”

“Much of the sales increase has been in self-defense firearms like military-type semi-automatics or pistols. Sales of traditional bolt-action hunting rifles and shotguns remain steady.”

This may be true and I certainly can see all the hardcore gun enthusiasts being worried that bans on assault and automatic weapons will be re-instated.; however, he further states that…

“Many of these customers are first-time buyers who “have never had a handgun in their home but believe now … is a good time to buy them.”

In other words…
People aren’t looking to hunt deer or collect soon to be ‘hard to find’ military style weapons; they’re worried about other people.

Let me say here that even though I do not own any firearms, I am a supporter of the 2nd amendment and hunting. Most avid hunters and gun owners I know, take gun ownership very seriously. I have no fear of these people or the guns they own. But as he stated in the article, it does not appear that these are the people buying up all these weapons.

It’s everyone else I’m afraid of!

Now back to the article…

“As the economic picture darkens, it’s more than possible people will stop fearing our new president and start worrying about a Mad Max-like apocalyptic scenario.

Just look the huge increase in the popularity of gold. Sales of the popular American Eagle gold coin are up four-fold while commodity investors are increasingly opting for physical delivery of gold bullion instead of settling futures contracts in cash. Bankers are reporting that more clients are hoarding gold in their vaults.

Sure, this is crazy. But remember that humans aren’t rational and that fear is the strongest of all emotions.”

He ends the article with the following…

“Forget traditional defensive sectors like utilities and healthcare. Go with guns and gold.”

I disagree. In fact I think he gives good cause to research many other sectors.
(Here’s my trickle down theory…)

With all the guns, ammunition will be in demand, as well as skilled gun smiths and gun safes. Oh wait, I forgot all these folks are first time buyers worried about home invasion and robberies. So they will not be buying safes for their guns. Instead they will just be keeping them in their sock drawers and under the mattress (see Select Comfort SCSS, and Sealy ZZ)

But I think safes are still worth investigating because people want a secure place for all the gold they are hoarding. And don’t forget locksmiths and security companies to help keep all those bad guys out. Such as: DAC Technologies Group International Inc (DAAT.OB), Sentry Technology Corp. (SKVY.OB), Tyco International Ltd. (TYC), Ingersoll-Rand Co. Ltd. (IR).

Shooting ranges should see an increase in business too. And, at the risk of offending folks (even more), once you are done shooting around with all the good ol boys at the range, what better way to continue the camaraderie; than to go to the local bar. Alcohol companies such as Diageo plc (DEO), Constellation Brands Inc. (STZ) should benefit.

It is well documented that alcohol sales increase during tough economic times. Just Google “economy alcohol sales” and see all the articles you get.

The Mad Max syndrome offers other clues for research too.
Fuel will be in demand; Exxon (XOM)
Water will be in demand; For clean bottled water – Coca-Cola Bottling Co. Consolidated (COKE) would be a good mainstream choice.
You can also play more on the utility side with the following: Itron (ITRI), Badger Meter (BMI) and Roper Industries (ROP). In fact there is a fund out there designed just for this niche. PowerShares Water Resources Portfolio (PHO).
Food will be in demand – I prefer plays such as Monsanto Co. (MON) and Mosaic Co. (MOS).

And despite his avoidance of the healthcare sector; with all these gun slinging folks walking around with whisky bottles, the need for medical supplies Covidien, Ltd. COV) and Becton, Dickinson and Company (BDX) will never be greater.